Sunday, June 06, 2004

Gold, Oil and a Major Terrorist Attack: a theory

"The gargantuan consumption of - and dependence of - the US on oil is partly the result of continuous heavy lobbying by the major oil companies of members of congress for decades, the purpose being to minimise the national public transport system, in order that consumption of oil, and thus profits for the oil companies, could be maximised. As a result, many communities in the US would cease to function without personal transportation and affordable gas. When it comes to securing oil supplies it is therefore prudent for the government to leave nothing to chance, and in this context the wisdom of constructing a comprehensive network of supply and logistics bases for forces close to the Middle-East oilfields becomes abundantly clear.
The ideal solution to any potential supply problem, of course, is to directly, or indirectly through appointees, control the supply source yourself. This is already the case with the small Gulf States such as Dubai, Kuwait and the UAE, which are semi-westernised and effectively client states of the major oil consuming countries. Afghanistan has no oil, or very little, but has the advantage of flanking Iran, and was therefore worth taking as a preparatory measure. Iraq has huge oil reserves and is therefore a major prize, with the additional advantage of being the western side of the pincer movement around Iran, Afghanistan being on the eastern flank. Another not inconsiderable benefit of controlling Iraq is that it will only take a few extensions to the major pipelines leading west and a huge quantity of oil will flow straight into Israel, the 3rd country of the US, UK, Israel axis. Saudi Arabia, although reasonably co-operative, is unstable and apparently a hotbed of fanatics, so clearly, in the event of a major convulsion in this country, either as the result of a revolution or a massive terrorist event that possibly disrupts the oil industry, the ideal solution will be to come to its assistance and relieve it of the burden of managing its own affairs, particularly its oil industry, in difficult circumstances. After that Iran can look forward to being in the news."

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